Probabilistic Forecasting Model of Pavement Performance Based on BP Neural Network

Authors

  • Xufei Xie Sch. of Commun. Sci. and Eng. Harbin Inst. of Technol., Harbin 150090, China
  • Songlin Ma Sch. of Commun. Sci. and Eng. Harbin Inst. of Technol., Harbin 150090, China
  • Xiangshen Hou Sch. of Commun. Sci. and Eng. Harbin Inst. of Technol., Harbin 150090, China

Keywords:

BP neural network, Pavement performance, Markow random process, Time series

Abstract

Applying BP(Back Propagation) neural network to the forecasting of pavement performance promotes the idea that neural network can be combined with Markov random process, trains neural network with fix structure by making use of time series of performance state of pavement and thus establishes the neural network probabilistic forecasting model of pavement performance.

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Published

2019-07-23